Me & the Boss

Me & the Boss

Saturday, June 29, 2013

How To Think When When You're Betting

By Adam Withercroft


I start off with telling what most people are doing wrong when betting. They place bet with their feelings and intuition, often because they bet on their favorite team. A bet that "feels" right, is often the worst of all.

Why is it that way? It goes way back, it's in our back bone. The ability to feel, and feel what to do, is the main reason humans have survived.

The evolution of human race hadn't come this far if it wasn't for the ability to make the right choices. And to back your choices up with something, you use the only measurement tool you had. Namely you feelings and senses.

So what the mumble has that to do with betting, you think? I'll explain.

In the spirit of evolution, the individuals who could take advantage of earlier experiences to make better decisions would also outlive the individuals that couldn't. They developed an ability to learn from the past. The things that had went good before, would most definitely work again.

The intuition is our best friend in those situations. Therefore it has always been an advantage to "feel" what to do.

But when you're applying this instinct to betting, this same intuition very often will lead you the wrong way. You would filter everything through those feelings and make decisions from that, rather than taking the actual circumstances into a count.

See where I'm going here? To do this instinct to your friend, you have to do research. Take real statistics to load up your knowledge base. That way you have the tools to make the right decisions. You no longer need to follow the "feeling" that one team is the stronger. So what you really need is a statistics base. Because what happened in the past will repeat itself. Again and again.

So where to find statistics? Think for a moment where you could easily find these statistics, and remember that both new stats and old stats are important. Not only the recent few games that have been played.

To help you out there are some good programs that will help you, which provides you with good base of statistics. These will provide you with facts, and make it easy to know what to expect from those single events you want to bet on. It's easy to make money on betting when your well prepared.




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